SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Neman had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest Neman win was 0-1 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | Neman |
41.34% ( -0.2) | 28.88% ( -0.27) | 29.78% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 44.05% ( 0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.71% ( 1.02) | 62.28% ( -1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.05% ( 0.74) | 81.94% ( -0.74) |
| Torpedo-BelAZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.32% ( 0.39) | 29.67% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.27% ( 0.47) | 65.73% ( -0.47) |
| Neman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.64% ( 0.94) | 37.35% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.86% ( 0.91) | 74.14% ( -0.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | Neman |
| 1-0 @ 13.46% ( -0.37) 2-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.14)2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.46% Total : 41.33% | 1-1 @ 13.26% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.08% ( -0.43)2-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.87% | 0-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.75% Total : 29.77% |
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