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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Apr 7, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
S

Toulouse
0 - 0
Strasbourg


Dallinga (16'), Aboukhlal (87')
FT

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Toulouse 2-2 Strasbourg

Strasbourg seldom lose in Toulouse, with a 2-0 defeat in January 2005 La Racing's only reverse in previous visits to this weekend's opponent, and they should avoid defeat to Novell's men in another high-scoring game to match last season's corresponding fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawStrasbourg
38.01% (0.429 0.43) 25.6% (0.162 0.16) 36.39% (-0.59399999999999 -0.59)
Both teams to score 55.61% (-0.589 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.6% (-0.744 -0.74)48.4% (0.74 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.46% (-0.684 -0.68)70.54% (0.682 0.68)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02% (-0.108 -0.11)24.97% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.38% (-0.149 -0.15)59.62% (0.146 0.15)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.13% (-0.679 -0.68)25.87% (0.677 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.15% (-0.926 -0.93)60.85% (0.923 0.92)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 38.01%
    Strasbourg 36.39%
    Draw 25.59%
ToulouseDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 8.96% (0.244 0.24)
2-1 @ 8.41% (0.044 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.22% (0.151 0.15)
3-1 @ 3.89% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.88% (0.062 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 38.01%
1-1 @ 12.11% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.46% (0.196 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 8.74% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
1-2 @ 8.19% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.91% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.69% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.66% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 36.39%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Clermont 0-3 Toulouse
Sunday, March 31 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 2-3 Lyon
Friday, March 15 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 1-0 Toulouse
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 2-1 Nice
Sunday, March 3 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 3-1 Lille
Sunday, February 25 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 0-0 Benfica
Thursday, February 22 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-0 Rennes
Sunday, March 31 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 1-3 Strasbourg
Saturday, March 16 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 0-1 Monaco
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 2-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 0-0 Strasbourg (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Strasbourg 0-3 Brest
Saturday, February 24 at 8pm in Ligue 1


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