Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Toulouse |
35.4% (![]() | 25.94% (![]() | 38.66% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.36% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.02% (![]() | 49.97% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.04% (![]() | 71.96% (![]() |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.81% (![]() | 27.19% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.4% (![]() | 62.6% (![]() |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.66% (![]() | 25.34% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.87% (![]() | 60.13% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Toulouse |
1-0 @ 8.97% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.02% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.84% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.48% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 3.02% Total : 35.4% | 1-1 @ 12.31% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.89% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.51% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 9.46% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.45% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.49% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.87% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 2.55% Total : 38.66% |
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