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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Mar 31, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Gabriel Montpied
T

Clermont
0 - 3
Toulouse


Caufriez (6'), Armougom (45+5'), M'Bahia (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sierro (8' pen., 79'), Dallinga (73')
Sierro (18')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Clermont 2-1 Le Havre
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Clermont 0-1 Toulouse

Clermont have put just two wins on the board from 13 home games this season, and as Toulouse pose far more of a goal threat, the visitors should drag themselves further clear of the drop zone; deepening their hosts' danger. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
ClermontDrawToulouse
35.4% (-0.551 -0.55) 25.94% (-0.165 -0.16) 38.66% (0.717 0.72)
Both teams to score 54.36% (0.511 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.02% (0.67700000000001 0.68)49.97% (-0.676 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.04% (0.602 0.6)71.96% (-0.601 -0.6)
Clermont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.81% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)27.19% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.4% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)62.6% (0.002999999999993 0)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.66% (0.706 0.71)25.34% (-0.705 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.87% (0.96 0.96)60.13% (-0.959 -0.96)
Score Analysis
    Clermont 35.4%
    Toulouse 38.66%
    Draw 25.93%
ClermontDrawToulouse
1-0 @ 8.97% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-1 @ 8.02% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.84% (-0.163 -0.16)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.54% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 35.4%
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.89% (-0.191 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.51% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 9.46% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-2 @ 8.45% (0.108 0.11)
0-2 @ 6.49% (0.085 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.87% (0.127 0.13)
0-3 @ 2.97% (0.097 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.082 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.33% (0.069 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 38.66%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Clermont 2-1 Le Havre
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 1-0 Clermont
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 1-5 Marseille
Saturday, March 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 0-0 Clermont
Sunday, February 25 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 3-1 Clermont
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 1-1 Brest
Sunday, February 11 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 2-3 Lyon
Friday, March 15 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 1-0 Toulouse
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 2-1 Nice
Sunday, March 3 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 3-1 Lille
Sunday, February 25 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 0-0 Benfica
Thursday, February 22 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Monaco 1-2 Toulouse
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Ligue 1


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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