SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 50.25%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 25.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.73%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Lyon |
25.29% ( 0.24) | 24.47% ( 0.1) | 50.25% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 53.78% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.73% ( -0.21) | 48.28% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.58% ( -0.19) | 70.42% ( 0.2) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.58% ( 0.08) | 33.42% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.96% ( 0.09) | 70.05% ( -0.09) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.77% ( -0.21) | 19.23% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.06% ( -0.36) | 50.94% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toulouse | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.36% Total : 25.29% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.47% | 0-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.26% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 4.8% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.07% Total : 50.24% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
