Both sides are in decent form at the moment, but Lyon have been a little more consistent, and we believe their overall balance and momentum will enable them to collect another three points even if Lacazette is unavailable.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 50.25%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 25.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.73%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
0.24) 
-0.33) 
