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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
S

Montpellier
2 - 2
Strasbourg

Doukoure (71' og.), Nordin (87')
Ferri (19')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Diarra (47' pen.), Emegha (83')
Sissoko (34'), Diarra (66'), Emegha (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Marseille 4-1 Montpellier
Sunday, February 25 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 0-0 Strasbourg (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France

We said: Montpellier HSC 3-1 Strasbourg

Montpellier collapsed during the defeat at Marseille last time out, but La Paillade should be confident of beating a Strasbourg side who are in turmoil on and off the field. Les Alsaciens have leaked plenty of goals during their recent Ligue 1 matches, and we are expecting a similar story for Vieira's men on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawStrasbourg
40.07% (-1.657 -1.66) 25.76% (0.493 0.49) 34.16% (1.159 1.16)
Both teams to score 54.75% (-1.368 -1.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.62% (-1.905 -1.91)49.38% (1.9 1.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.57% (-1.737 -1.74)71.42% (1.734 1.73)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.68% (-1.67 -1.67)24.32% (1.666 1.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.29% (-2.418 -2.42)58.7% (2.413 2.41)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.34% (-0.208 -0.21)27.65% (0.205 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.8% (-0.266 -0.27)63.2% (0.262 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 40.07%
    Strasbourg 34.16%
    Draw 25.76%
Montpellier HSCDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 9.51% (0.276 0.28)
2-1 @ 8.64% (-0.221 -0.22)
2-0 @ 6.72% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.07% (-0.314 -0.31)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.225 -0.23)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.219 -0.22)
4-1 @ 1.44% (-0.189 -0.19)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.139 -0.14)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.128 -0.13)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 40.07%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.29 0.29)
0-0 @ 6.73% (0.507 0.51)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 8.64% (0.605 0.61)
1-2 @ 7.86% (0.139 0.14)
0-2 @ 5.56% (0.359 0.36)
1-3 @ 3.37% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.38% (0.141 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 34.16%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Marseille 4-1 Montpellier
Sunday, February 25 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 3-0 Metz
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-2 Lyon
Sunday, February 11 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-4 Nice
Wednesday, February 7 at 7.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Rennes 2-1 Montpellier
Saturday, February 3 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 0-0 Lille
Sunday, January 28 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 0-0 Strasbourg (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Strasbourg 0-3 Brest
Saturday, February 24 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-3 Lorient
Sunday, February 18 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 3-1 Strasbourg
Saturday, February 10 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 3-1 Le Havre
Wednesday, February 7 at 7.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-2 PSG
Friday, February 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1


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