Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17

Jan 12, 2025 at 4.15pm UK

Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)

Toulouse
1 - 2
Strasbourg

Doukoure (35' og.)
Akdag (7'), Akdag (79')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Emegha (14', 26')
Sarr (42'), Santos (74'), Bakwa (77'), Sobol (80'), Sobol (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lens 0-1 Toulouse
Sunday, January 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Strasbourg

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Strasbourg 3-1 Auxerre
Sunday, January 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

We said: Toulouse 1-1 Strasbourg

These are two sides in fine form at the moment, but as good as Strasbourg have been in the attacking third, their opponents have been extremely compact defensively at home, and we expect a stalemate as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Strasbourg
43.95% ( 0.04)	26.23% ( -0)	29.81% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 51.61% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.3%

52.7% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.66%

74.34% (

-0)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.15% (

0.02)

23.85% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.97% (

0.03)

58.03% (

-0.03)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.77% (

-0.03)

32.23% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.28% (

-0.03)

68.72% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Toulouse 43.95%

Strasbourg 29.81%

Draw 26.23%

Toulouse	Draw	Strasbourg
1-0 @ 11.01% 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 43.95%	1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.69% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.23%	0-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 29.81%