SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 56.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 21.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-2 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Toulouse |
56.46% ( 0.77) | 22.28% ( -0.22) | 21.25% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 55.98% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57% ( 0.27) | 42.99% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.6% ( 0.26) | 65.39% ( -0.26) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.95% ( 0.35) | 15.04% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.46% ( 0.65) | 43.54% ( -0.66) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.9% ( -0.38) | 34.1% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.21% ( -0.41) | 70.79% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Toulouse |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.75% Total : 56.47% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.28% | 1-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.14% Total : 21.25% |
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