Trabzonspor have the second-best defence in the league at present, but they have lacked attacking potency, which has seen them fail to score in three of seven Super Lig matches.
Although Istanbul have struggled in this fixture in recent years, we expect them to have enough to overcome the hosts' defence and secure at least a draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Trabzonspor would win this match.
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