SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 71.41%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Antalyaspor had a probability of 11.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for an Antalyaspor win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Antalyaspor |
71.41% ( 0.05) | 17.28% ( 0.02) | 11.32% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.05% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.66% ( -0.29) | 39.33% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.33% ( -0.3) | 61.67% ( 0.3) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.24% ( -0.06) | 9.75% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.55% ( -0.14) | 32.45% ( 0.14) |
| Antalyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.45% ( -0.31) | 44.54% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.43% ( -0.25) | 80.57% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Antalyaspor |
| 2-0 @ 11.76% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 2.47% 5-1 @ 2% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 3.73% Total : 71.4% | 1-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.91% Total : 17.28% | 0-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.04% Total : 11.32% |
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