Trabzonspor's away form has been so poor this season, so it is tough to back them to win, even taking into account their excellent run of results. Basaksehir will have their eye on the cup final, but we are still expecting the hosts to be good enough to secure a share of the spoils on Tuesday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Trabzonspor win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
1.21) 
-1.33) 
