Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for MK Dons in this match.
-0.02) 
0) 
