Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
-3.84) 
0.22) 
