SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
42.74% ( 1.14) | 24.73% ( 0.02) | 32.52% ( -1.17) |
| Both teams to score 57.77% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.75% ( -0.45) | 45.24% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.41% ( -0.43) | 67.58% ( 0.43) |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.78% ( 0.34) | 21.22% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.88% ( 0.53) | 54.11% ( -0.53) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.33% ( -0.93) | 26.66% ( 0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.09% ( -1.24) | 61.91% ( 1.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.26)2-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 42.74% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 7.66% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.15% Total : 32.52% |
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