SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 36.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Swindon Town |
39.14% ( 0.05) | 24.06% ( -0.04) | 36.8% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.22% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.82% ( 0.17) | 41.18% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.43% ( 0.18) | 63.57% ( -0.18) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.83% ( 0.1) | 21.17% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.96% ( 0.16) | 54.04% ( -0.16) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.66% ( 0.07) | 22.34% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.18% ( 0.1) | 55.82% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 39.14% | 1-1 @ 11% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.05% | 1-2 @ 8.25% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 36.8% |
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