SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.51%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Notts County |
35.03% ( 0.05) | 23.98% ( 0.03) | 40.99% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 61.22% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.93% ( -0.13) | 41.06% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.54% ( -0.14) | 63.45% ( 0.13) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.77% ( -0.03) | 23.22% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.86% ( -0.05) | 57.13% ( 0.04) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.74% ( -0.1) | 20.26% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.39% ( -0.15) | 52.6% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 3.14% Total : 35.03% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 8.76% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 40.99% |
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