A closely-fought contest could be on the cards on Friday considering that there is little to separate these two teams. However, when taking into account Notts County's strong home form and goalscoring prowess, coupled with Shrewsbury's poor away record and lack of threat in the final third, we believe that the hosts will do enough to secure their place in the third round.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 59.14%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 20.47% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.17%) and 1-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-2 (5.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
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