Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 66.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 14.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
-0.07) 
0.04) 
