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FA Cup | First Round
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Prenton Park
OA

Tranmere
1 - 2
Oldham

Jennings (7')
Finley (31'), Turnbull (45+2'), Davies (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Norwood (37'), Uchegbulam (61')
Caprice (23'), Kitching (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 3-1 Tranmere
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Oldham 1-0 Dag & Red
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League

We said: Tranmere Rovers 1-2 Oldham Athletic

Despite being in the league below, Oldham are only nine places behind Tranmere in the football pyramid, and bring much more form and confidence into this one than their hosts. Recent years have shown that those at the top of the National League are often stronger than those struggling at the bottom of League Two, and that could be proven again here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Oldham Athletic in this match.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawOldham Athletic
42.52% (0.035000000000004 0.04) 25.15% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 32.32% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 56.26% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.82% (0.00099999999999767 0)47.18% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.59% (0.0019999999999989 0)69.41% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.85% (0.015999999999991 0.02)22.14% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.47% (0.025999999999996 0.03)55.53% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.26% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)27.73% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.7% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)63.3% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 42.52%
    Oldham Athletic 32.32%
    Draw 25.15%
Tranmere RoversDrawOldham Athletic
1-0 @ 9.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 6.98% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.5% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 3.51% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 42.52%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.14% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 7.88% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 5.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 32.32%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Crewe 3-1 Tranmere
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 0-1 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Bromley 1-2 Tranmere
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 0-2 Bradford
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 2-1 Accrington
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: MK Dons 1-1 Tranmere
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Oldham 1-0 Dag & Red
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 2-2 Oldham
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Sutton 1-3 Oldham
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 4-2 Halifax
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Oldham 2-3 Solihull
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-2 Oldham
Saturday, September 28 at 5.30pm in National League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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