SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
41.96% ( 0.03) | 25.86% ( -0.03) | 32.18% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 53.86% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.72% ( 0.12) | 50.28% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.77% ( 0.11) | 72.23% ( -0.1) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.24% ( 0.07) | 23.76% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.09% ( 0.1) | 57.91% ( -0.1) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.64% ( 0.06) | 29.36% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.66% ( 0.07) | 65.34% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.95% Total : 41.96% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.18% |
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