SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 50.11%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
50.11% ( -0.07) | 23.89% ( 0.02) | 26% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.36% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.81% ( -0.04) | 45.18% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.47% ( -0.04) | 67.53% ( 0.04) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.9% ( -0.04) | 18.1% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.96% ( -0.07) | 49.04% ( 0.07) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.82% ( 0.02) | 31.18% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.48% ( 0.02) | 67.52% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 1-0 @ 9.65% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 3.54% Total : 50.11% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.89% | 0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0)Other @ 2.84% Total : 26% |
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