Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Tromso IL | Draw | Lillestrom |
45.74% ( 0.08) | 23.42% ( 0) | 30.84% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 61.65% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.18% ( -0.07) | 39.82% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.82% ( -0.07) | 62.17% ( 0.07) |
Tromso IL Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.27% ( 0.01) | 17.73% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.6% ( 0.01) | 48.4% ( -0.01) |
Lillestrom Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.94% ( -0.08) | 25.06% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.25% ( -0.12) | 59.74% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Tromso IL | Draw | Lillestrom |
2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.67% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0) Other @ 3.85% Total : 45.74% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.15% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 30.84% |
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