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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 11
Jun 2, 2024 at 4pm UK
Alfheim Stadion
L

Tromso
1 - 2
Lillestrom

Kvalvagnes Guddal (67')
Norheim (71'), Kvalvagnes Guddal (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Antonsen (20' og.), Lehne Olsen (51')
Christiansen (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tromso 3-0 Fredrikstad
Wednesday, May 29 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Odd 2-1 Lillestrom
Sunday, May 26 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: Tromso IL 2-1 Lillestrom

This fixture brings a team with good home form against one that is thriving on the road, which should lead to a closely contested fixture. Considering how tight things are in the table at the moment there is plenty on the line here, but the recent form of Tromso could give them the edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Tromso ILDrawLillestrom
45.74% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 23.42% (0.0040000000000013 0) 30.84% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 61.65% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.18% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)39.82% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.82% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)62.17% (0.067 0.07)
Tromso IL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)17.73% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.6% (0.009999999999998 0.01)48.4% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Lillestrom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.94% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)25.06% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.25% (-0.117 -0.12)59.74% (0.114 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Tromso IL 45.74%
    Lillestrom 30.84%
    Draw 23.41%
Tromso ILDrawLillestrom
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.69% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.65% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.83% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.67% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 45.74%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.44% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.69% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.41%
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.15% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.4% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 30.84%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Tromso 3-0 Fredrikstad
Wednesday, May 29 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Fredrikstad 0-0 Tromso
Saturday, May 25 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Tromso 3-2 Rosenborg
Monday, May 20 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 4-0 Tromso
Thursday, May 16 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Tromso 4-0 Odd
Sunday, May 12 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Viking FK 2-1 Tromso
Sunday, May 5 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Odd 2-1 Lillestrom
Sunday, May 26 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 0-3 Fredrikstad
Monday, May 20 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Viking FK 1-4 Lillestrom
Thursday, May 16 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 0-2 Brann
Sunday, May 12 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sarpsborg 1-0 Lillestrom
Sunday, May 5 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 1-1 HamKam
Sunday, April 28 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien


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