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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 52.27%. A win for Tromso IL had a probability of 24.75% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Tromso IL win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lillestrom | Draw | Tromso IL |
52.27% ( 0.19) | 22.98% ( -0.01) | 24.75% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 58.15% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.77% ( -0.11) | 42.23% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.37% ( -0.11) | 64.63% ( 0.11) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.79% ( 0.03) | 16.2% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.31% ( 0.05) | 45.69% ( -0.05) |
| Tromso IL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.39% ( -0.2) | 30.6% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.16% ( -0.24) | 66.84% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lillestrom | Draw | Tromso IL |
| 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 3.42% Total : 52.27% | 1-1 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.98% | 1-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.87% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.93% Total : 24.75% |
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