SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Tromso IL had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Tromso IL win was 1-0 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tromso IL | Draw | Lillestrom |
28.69% ( -0.03) | 24.81% ( 0.01) | 46.5% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.5% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.68% ( -0.05) | 47.32% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.46% ( -0.04) | 69.54% ( 0.04) |
| Tromso IL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.73% ( -0.04) | 30.27% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.56% ( -0.05) | 66.44% ( 0.05) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.59% ( -0.01) | 20.41% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.16% ( -0.01) | 52.84% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tromso IL | Draw | Lillestrom |
| 1-0 @ 7.38% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.41% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.76% ( -0)Other @ 3.12% Total : 28.69% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.81% | 0-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.94% 0-3 @ 4.13% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.64% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 46.5% |
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