SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Molde | 17 | 20 | 39 |
| 2 | Lillestrom | 16 | 17 | 36 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | 17 | 25 | 34 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | HamKam | 17 | -1 | 18 |
| 13 | Tromso IL | 15 | -7 | 17 |
| 14 | FK Haugesund | 16 | -4 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 54.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Tromso IL had a probability of 21.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Tromso IL win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lillestrom | Draw | Tromso IL |
54.35% ( -0.12) | 23.79% ( -0.02) | 21.86% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 51.97% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.26% ( 0.22) | 48.74% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.15% ( 0.2) | 70.85% ( -0.2) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.17% ( 0.04) | 17.83% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.43% ( 0.06) | 48.57% ( -0.06) |
| Tromso IL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.25% ( 0.25) | 36.75% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.46% ( 0.26) | 73.53% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lillestrom | Draw | Tromso IL |
| 1-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.51% Total : 54.34% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.78% | 0-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.75% Total : 21.86% |
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