Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rodez AF win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rodez AF win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rodez AF would win this match.
0.46) 
-0.06) 
