Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rodez AF win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rodez AF win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rodez AF would win this match.
-0.03) 
0.02) 
