Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 53.55%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Rodez AF had a probability of 20.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Rodez AF win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Troyes would win this match.
