SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MTK win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Ujpest had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a MTK win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.19%) and 0-2 (5.56%). The likeliest Ujpest win was 2-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for MTK in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ujpest | Draw | MTK |
34.04% ( -0.55) | 22.63% ( 0.04) | 43.32% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 66.06% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.37% ( -0.35) | 34.63% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.43% ( -0.39) | 56.57% ( 0.39) |
| Ujpest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.23% ( -0.44) | 20.76% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.59% ( -0.69) | 53.4% ( 0.69) |
| MTK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.37% ( 0.05) | 16.62% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.55% ( 0.1) | 46.45% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ujpest | Draw | MTK |
| 2-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.87% Total : 34.04% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.63% | 1-2 @ 8.74% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 5.23% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 2.34% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.84% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.04)3-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.54% Total : 43.32% |
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