SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 44%. A win for Baltika had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest Baltika win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ural Yekaterinburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Baltika |
44% ( -0.56) | 27.86% ( -0.05) | 28.13% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 45.97% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.51% ( 0.44) | 59.49% ( -0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.15% ( 0.34) | 79.85% ( -0.34) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.12% ( -0.09) | 26.88% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.8% ( -0.11) | 62.2% ( 0.12) |
| Baltika Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.86% ( 0.75) | 37.13% ( -0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.08% ( 0.73) | 73.92% ( -0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Baltika |
| 1-0 @ 13.11% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.19)2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.92% Total : 44% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.98% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.86% | 0-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.77% Total : 28.13% |
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