SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Baltika win with a probability of 46.5%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 26.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Baltika win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Baltika would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Baltika | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
46.5% ( -0) | 27.42% ( 0) | 26.07% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 45.79% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.98% ( -0.01) | 59.02% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.51% ( -0.01) | 79.49% ( 0.01) |
| Baltika Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.59% ( -0.01) | 25.4% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.79% ( -0.01) | 60.21% ( 0.01) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.39% ( -0.01) | 38.61% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.65% ( -0.01) | 75.35% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Baltika | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
| 1-0 @ 13.44% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.21% 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.21% ( -0)3-1 @ 4% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.44% 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 2.17% Total : 46.5% | 1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 9.81% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0)Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.42% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.44% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.93% 0-3 @ 1.41% 2-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.54% Total : 26.07% |
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