SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Rostov win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Rostov |
41.01% ( -0.16) | 27.69% ( 0.02) | 31.3% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 47.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.24% ( -0.02) | 57.75% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.5% ( -0.02) | 78.49% ( 0.02) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.33% ( -0.1) | 27.67% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.78% ( -0.13) | 63.22% ( 0.12) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.22% ( 0.09) | 33.78% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.56% ( 0.1) | 70.44% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Rostov |
| 1-0 @ 12% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.86% Total : 41% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0)Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 31.29% |
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