SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Baltika had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Baltika win was 1-0 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Baltika | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
36.2% ( -0.01) | 26.97% ( 0.01) | 36.83% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.03% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.77% ( -0.03) | 54.23% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.37% ( -0.03) | 75.63% ( 0.02) |
| Baltika Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.24% ( -0.02) | 28.75% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.4% ( -0.02) | 64.59% ( 0.02) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.62% ( -0.02) | 28.37% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.88% ( -0.02) | 64.12% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Baltika | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
| 1-0 @ 10.16% 2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.34% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.32% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 36.19% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.97% | 0-1 @ 10.27% 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.47% 1-3 @ 3.39% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.72% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 36.83% |
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