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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 24
Apr 14, 2024 at 12.15pm UK
Ekaterinburg Arena
DM

Ural
2 - 1
Dynamo Moscow

Miskic (10'), Kashtanov (90+5')
Ishkov (18'), Sungatulin (19'), Egorychev (73'), Kulakov (74'), Kashtanov (90+3'), Cisse (90+6')
Kashtanov (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tyukavin (34')
Marichal (41'), Carrascal (54'), Laxalt (80')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Ural Yekaterinburg and Dynamo Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ural 1-2 Krylia Sovetov
Saturday, April 6 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 1-2 Spartak Moscow
Sunday, April 7 at 5.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ural Yekaterinburg would win this match.

Result
Ural YekaterinburgDrawDynamo Moscow
41.01% (0.33600000000001 0.34) 25.92% (-0.228 -0.23) 33.06% (-0.114 -0.11)
Both teams to score 53.94% (0.711 0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.69% (0.92899999999999 0.93)50.3% (-0.936 -0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.75% (0.82 0.82)72.25% (-0.82600000000001 -0.83)
Ural Yekaterinburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.75% (0.589 0.59)24.25% (-0.595 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.39% (0.829 0.83)58.61% (-0.835 -0.84)
Dynamo Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.21% (0.38500000000001 0.39)28.79% (-0.391 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.36% (0.479 0.48)64.64% (-0.48399999999999 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Ural Yekaterinburg 41.01%
    Dynamo Moscow 33.06%
    Draw 25.91%
Ural YekaterinburgDrawDynamo Moscow
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.199 -0.2)
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.01% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.12% (0.101 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.31% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.09 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.46% (0.06 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 41.01%
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 6.98% (-0.268 -0.27)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.1 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.69% (-0.236 -0.24)
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.41% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.18% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.065 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 33.06%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Ural 1-2 Krylia Sovetov
Saturday, April 6 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Spartak Moscow 0-0 Ural
Saturday, March 30 at 4pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Ural 1-4 Zenit
Saturday, March 9 at 11am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Akhmat Grozny 1-0 Ural
Saturday, March 2 at 4pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Lokomotiv 2-0 Ural
Friday, December 8 at 4pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 Ural
Saturday, December 2 at 4.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 1-2 Spartak Moscow
Sunday, April 7 at 5.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 1-4 Rostov
Friday, March 29 at 4.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 2-0 Akhmat Grozny
Saturday, March 9 at 4pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 2-1 Lokomotiv
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Fakel 1-1 Dynamo Moscow
Sunday, December 10 at 11am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 1-0 Rubin Kazan
Monday, December 4 at 4.30pm in Russian Premier League


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