SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 67.92%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 13.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 0-1 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
67.92% ( -0.17) | 18.6% ( -0.01) | 13.48% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 52.23% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.04% ( 0.46) | 39.95% ( -0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.68% ( 0.47) | 62.31% ( -0.48) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.21% ( 0.08) | 10.78% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.19% ( 0.19) | 34.8% ( -0.2) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.54% ( 0.55) | 41.45% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.04% ( 0.48) | 77.96% ( -0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
| 2-0 @ 11.08% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.17)2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.04)Other @ 4.22% Total : 67.91% | 1-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.6% | 0-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.55% Total : 13.48% |
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