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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 16
Jul 29, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Intility Arena

Valerenga
2 - 3
Sandefjord

Jatta (52'), Strand (90')
Bjordal (61'), Borchgrevink (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ottosson (63'), Al-Saed (72'), Nyenetue (90+4')
Nyenetue (75'), Nilsson (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Odd 2-1 Valerenga
Sunday, July 23 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sandefjord 2-5 Bodo/Glimt
Sunday, July 23 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: Valerenga Fotball 2-1 Sandefjord

Valerenga have been struggling massively of late at their Oslo home, but a Norwegian Cup victory over Brann earlier this month hinted that Norne's side can impress in front of their own supporters. In the Eliteserien, Sandefjord are leaking goals - which often points towards relegation - and we expect the visitors to narrowly lose out at the Intility Arena on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valerenga Fotball win with a probability of 66.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Sandefjord had a probability of 15.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valerenga Fotball win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 1-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for a Sandefjord win it was 1-2 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Valerenga FotballDrawSandefjord
66.13% (0.069000000000003 0.07) 18.5% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 15.37% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 57.84% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.85% (0.14400000000001 0.14)35.14% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.85% (0.16099999999999 0.16)57.15% (-0.16399999999999 -0.16)
Valerenga Fotball Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.1% (0.055999999999997 0.06)9.9% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.21% (0.13200000000001 0.13)32.79% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)
Sandefjord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.2% (0.057999999999993 0.06)35.8% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.42% (0.059000000000001 0.06)72.57% (-0.062000000000012 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Valerenga Fotball 66.13%
    Sandefjord 15.37%
    Draw 18.5%
Valerenga FotballDrawSandefjord
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.48% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.2% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.51% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 4.34% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.23% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.86% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.23% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.01% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.95% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.03% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 66.13%
1-1 @ 8.42% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 3.54% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 18.5%
1-2 @ 4.32% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.64% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.87% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 15.37%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Odd 2-1 Valerenga
Sunday, July 23 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Valerenga 0-4 Molde
Saturday, July 15 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Tromso 0-0 Valerenga
Sunday, July 9 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Valerenga 1-2 Viking FK
Saturday, July 1 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Valerenga 0-1 Stromsgodset
Sunday, June 11 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Valerenga 1-3 Bodo/Glimt
Sunday, June 4 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sandefjord 2-5 Bodo/Glimt
Sunday, July 23 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 4-2 Sandefjord
Sunday, July 16 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sandefjord 0-0 Stabaek
Sunday, July 9 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sarpsborg 6-1 Sandefjord
Sunday, July 2 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Haugesund 3-2 Sandefjord
Sunday, June 11 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sandefjord 4-1 Odd
Sunday, June 4 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien


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