SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasteras SK win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasteras SK win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 1-0 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Varnamo | Draw | Vasteras SK |
26.8% ( 0.05) | 24.98% ( -0.01) | 48.22% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.51% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.73% ( 0.08) | 49.27% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.67% ( 0.07) | 71.33% ( -0.07) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.28% ( 0.08) | 32.72% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.73% ( 0.09) | 69.27% ( -0.09) |
| Vasteras SK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.54% ( 0.02) | 20.47% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.07% ( 0.03) | 52.93% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varnamo | Draw | Vasteras SK |
| 1-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.18% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 26.8% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 10.62% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.41% 0-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.98% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.46% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.98% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.77% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 48.21% |
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