Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 62.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for FeralpiSalo had a probability of 17.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 1-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a FeralpiSalo win it was 1-2 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Venezia in this match.
-0.74) 
0.12) 
