Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for FeralpiSalo had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest FeralpiSalo win was 1-0 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
0.16) 
-0.16) 
