SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ascoli | Draw | Venezia |
32.35% ( -1.2) | 27.77% ( 0.26) | 39.89% ( 0.93) |
| Both teams to score 48.01% ( -1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.23% ( -1.2) | 57.77% ( 1.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.49% ( -0.96) | 78.51% ( 0.95) |
| Ascoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.96% ( -1.43) | 33.04% ( 1.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.37% ( -1.62) | 69.63% ( 1.61) |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.69% ( -0.04) | 28.31% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.97% ( -0.05) | 64.03% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ascoli | Draw | Venezia |
| 1-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.25)2-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.2)3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.54% Total : 32.34% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.42)2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.76% | 0-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.51) 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.32)1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.77% Total : 39.88% |
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