Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Venezia in this match.
0.02) 
-0.05) 
