SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for VfL Osnabruck had a probability of 37.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.59%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest VfL Osnabruck win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| VfL Osnabruck | Draw | Freiburg |
37.28% ( -0.05) | 24.35% ( -0.13) | 38.37% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 60.14% ( 0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.41% ( 0.6) | 42.59% ( -0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.01% ( 0.6) | 64.99% ( -0.59) |
| VfL Osnabruck Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.27% ( 0.24) | 22.73% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.6% ( 0.36) | 56.4% ( -0.36) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.83% ( 0.35) | 22.17% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.43% ( 0.53) | 55.57% ( -0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| VfL Osnabruck | Draw | Freiburg |
| 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 37.28% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.35% | 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.25% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.45% Total : 38.37% |
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