SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Strasbourg | Draw | Freiburg |
38.14% ( -0.25) | 25.19% ( 0.06) | 36.67% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 57.07% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.45% ( -0.27) | 46.54% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.18% ( -0.25) | 68.82% ( 0.25) |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.94% ( -0.26) | 24.06% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.66% ( -0.36) | 58.33% ( 0.36) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.14% ( -0.02) | 24.85% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.54% ( -0.03) | 59.46% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Strasbourg | Draw | Freiburg |
| 1-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.97% Total : 38.14% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.83% Total : 36.67% |
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