SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Freiburg |
43.72% ( 0.81) | 24.49% ( 0.1) | 31.78% ( -0.91) |
| Both teams to score 58.3% ( -0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.58% ( -0.8) | 44.42% ( 0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.21% ( -0.78) | 66.79% ( 0.79) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.57% ( 0.03) | 20.43% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.12% ( 0.04) | 52.88% ( -0.04) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.27% ( -0.95) | 26.73% ( 0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.01% ( -1.27) | 61.99% ( 1.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Koln | Draw | Freiburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.31)2-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.84% Total : 43.72% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.49% | 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.13% Total : 31.78% |
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