While Freiburg have experienced a slight dip in home form lately, it is worth pointing out that five of their last six games at Europa-Park Stadion were against sides in the top six of the Bundesliga standings. We expect the hosts to put on a much better showing this week and feel they will emerge with the points from this match.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
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