SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 36.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Strasbourg | Draw | Freiburg |
37.86% ( -0.61) | 25.38% ( 0.03) | 36.76% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 56.39% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.58% ( -0.11) | 47.41% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.37% ( -0.11) | 69.63% ( 0.11) |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.39% ( -0.38) | 24.6% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.89% ( -0.53) | 59.1% ( 0.53) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.79% ( 0.27) | 25.2% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.06% ( 0.37) | 59.94% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Strasbourg | Draw | Freiburg |
| 1-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.85% Total : 37.86% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.75% Total : 36.76% |
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