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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Villarreal II had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Villarreal II win was 1-0 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal II | Draw | Racing de Santander |
34.23% ( -0.2) | 26.15% ( 0.09) | 39.62% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 53.49% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.99% ( -0.4) | 51.01% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.13% ( -0.35) | 72.87% ( 0.36) |
| Villarreal II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.6% ( -0.32) | 28.4% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.85% ( -0.4) | 64.15% ( 0.41) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.7% ( -0.12) | 25.3% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.93% ( -0.17) | 60.07% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal II | Draw | Racing de Santander |
| 1-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.72% Total : 34.23% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.54% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 39.62% |
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