SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 53.3%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 21.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Santander would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Villarreal II |
53.3% ( 0.51) | 25.19% ( -0.25) | 21.51% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 47.39% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.41% ( 0.64) | 54.59% ( -0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.07% ( 0.53) | 75.93% ( -0.53) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.52% ( 0.47) | 20.48% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.04% ( 0.73) | 52.95% ( -0.74) |
| Villarreal II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.59% ( 0.09) | 40.41% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.97% ( 0.08) | 77.02% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Villarreal II |
| 1-0 @ 13.12% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.45% Total : 53.3% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.28% Total : 21.51% |
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