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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 43.74%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 27.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.86%) and 1-2 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 1-0 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal II | Draw | Racing de Santander |
27.48% ( -0.16) | 28.79% ( 0.06) | 43.74% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 43.17% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.18% ( -0.26) | 62.82% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.67% ( -0.19) | 82.33% ( 0.19) |
| Villarreal II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.47% ( -0.28) | 39.53% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.79% ( -0.26) | 76.21% ( 0.27) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.39% ( -0.07) | 28.61% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.59% ( -0.09) | 64.41% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal II | Draw | Racing de Santander |
| 1-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.44% Total : 27.47% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.78% | 0-1 @ 14.15% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 8.86% ( 0.05)1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.57% Total : 43.73% |
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