SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Shakhtyor Soligorsk had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitebsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitebsk | Draw | Shakhtyor Soligorsk |
40.48% ( 0.06) | 27.29% ( 0) | 32.22% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 49.37% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.97% ( -0.02) | 56.03% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.88% ( -0.02) | 77.11% ( 0.02) |
| Vitebsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.85% ( 0.02) | 27.15% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.45% ( 0.03) | 62.54% ( -0.03) |
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.77% ( -0.06) | 32.23% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.27% ( -0.07) | 68.72% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitebsk | Draw | Shakhtyor Soligorsk |
| 1-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2% Total : 40.48% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0)Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.29% | 0-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 32.22% |
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