Vitoria should be full of confidence given that they just upset Brazilian giants Palmeiras a few days after narrowly losing to the league-leaders Flamengo (2-1).
We believe they will carry that momentum into this contest against a Cuiaba side that have been inconsistent away from home this season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Vitoria had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Vitoria win was 1-0 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria in this match.
-0.77) 
1.07) 
